Construction costs haven't returned to normal. They have become the new normal.
For several years, many in the property industry expected construction costs to stabilise as supply chains recovered from COVID-19. That hasn't happened.
The latest Australian Construction Market Conditions Report released by WT Partnership indicates that construction cost escalation is expected to remain elevated over the coming years, particularly across South East Queensland where demand continues to outpace industry capacity.
What is driving construction costs?
Construction costs today are no longer being driven solely by material shortages. The market is experiencing pressure from multiple directions:
- Labour shortages — skilled tradespeople remain in high demand across all states
- Olympic infrastructure projects — Brisbane 2032 has accelerated regional construction activity
- Population growth — demand for housing and commercial space remains strong
- Government capital works — competing for the same workforce and materials
- Higher wages — construction award rates and enterprise agreements have increased significantly
- Capacity constraints — builder capacity is stretched across all sectors
- Delayed developments — projects deferred during COVID are now flooding back, compressing the pipeline
| Cost Driver | Impact Level | Regions Most Affected | |---|---|---| | Labour shortages | 🔴 Very High | All states | | Olympic infrastructure | 🔴 Very High | SE Queensland | | Population growth | 🟠 High | QLD, NSW, VIC | | Government capital works | 🟠 High | NSW, QLD, VIC | | Higher wages (awards + EBAs) | 🟠 High | All states | | Capacity constraints | 🟠 High | All major cities | | Delayed projects returning | 🟡 Medium | Residential, commercial |
Why this matters for property owners
Insurance
> ⚠️ Underinsurance warning: Australian insurers estimate that up to 80% of commercial and strata properties are currently underinsured — meaning in the event of a total loss, owners would face a significant out-of-pocket shortfall. Rising construction costs are the primary reason policies fall behind.If your building replacement cost has increased but your insurance has not been reviewed, you could be underinsured. In the event of a major loss, this may result in significant out-of-pocket costs. An independent Insurance Replacement Cost Assessment by a Chartered Quantity Surveyor ensures your policy reflects today's true rebuild cost.
Renovations
Projects that appeared financially viable twelve months ago may now require revised budgets and contingencies. Getting independent cost advice before committing to a renovation avoids costly surprises. Use our Renovation Cost Calculator to get an indicative budget before engaging a builder.Investment properties
Higher construction costs ultimately influence replacement value, depreciation opportunities on new construction, and long-term asset values. Understanding this can improve your investment decisions. See how depreciation interacts with your property using the Tax Depreciation Calculator.What it means for developers
Feasibility margins continue to tighten. Even relatively small increases in construction costs can significantly impact project viability. Developers should be reviewing:
- Construction budgets and current market rates — use Koste's Construction Cost Estimator for professional-grade estimates
- Escalation allowances for multi-year projects
- Contingencies (industry standard is 5–15% depending on risk)
- Funding assumptions with lenders
- Project timing relative to market cycles
> 💡 Rule of thumb for developers: For every 10% increase in construction costs on a $2M project, the total cost blows out by $200,000. On a $10M development, that same 10% rise costs an additional $1M. Escalation allowances built into your cost plan protect feasibility when markets move.
Why lenders are paying closer attention
Banks and financiers are increasingly focused on construction cost risk. Independent Quantity Surveyor reports assist lenders by providing confidence around:
- Project budgets and market-rate validation
- Remaining costs to complete
- Drawdown claims and payment schedules
- Construction progress assessments
- Cost contingency adequacy
The hidden risk many owners overlook
Many commercial buildings, strata properties and investment assets have not had an Insurance Replacement Cost Assessment completed for several years. With ongoing cost escalation, many policies may no longer reflect the true cost of rebuilding today.
This is not just a theoretical risk. Underinsurance regularly results in significant financial loss when claims are made on policies that haven't kept pace with market construction costs.
Looking ahead
While economic conditions may fluctuate, one trend remains clear — construction costs are expected to remain elevated for the foreseeable future. For property owners, investors and developers, waiting until a project begins is often too late.
Understanding construction costs early allows better decisions around budgeting, financing, insurance and project feasibility. Koste's National Construction Cost Database covers 153 verified cost entries across all Australian cities and property types — updated quarterly. ---
Source This article references findings from the WT Partnership Australian Construction Market Conditions Report — June 2026. All commentary, analysis and opinions are Koste's own.